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Will Dropouts Save America? (nytimes.com)
187 points by JJMalina on Oct 22, 2011 | hide | past | favorite | 112 comments


"I’d put my money on the kids who are dropping out of college to start new businesses."

Even though this might sound to some like a description of what YC does, in fact we're reluctant to fund people who are still in school. There's no rush. Someone who can start a successful startup at 19 can do it as well or better at 22.


Can't things change quite a bit between these years? When your in school, you're broke. Its not weird to eat ramen and work all the time.

But by the time your 22, maybe you got an internship at a cool company, and they're offering you 80k a year. Your getting used to a decent standard of living. Maybe you get recruited by Wall Street and the dangle 140k under your nose. You take the job, and get locked in with the "golden handcuffs". Now your comfortable, and you meet a cute girl, who wants a guy with a steady job, so you never start the company.

Maybe this guy was never really meant to be an entrepreneur; maybe he wanted that comfortable life all along. But when he was 19 he was ready to go.

> There's no rush. Someone who can start a successful startup at 19 can do it as well or better at 22.

I think there is a better chance that he won't start the startup at 22, cause he got a high paying job, and doesn't want to downgrade from his standard of living.


I don't think YC really wants to fund people who would give up on a start up, just because of a 140k/year job. Start ups seem to be a lot of work, and you'd need to be really dedicated to succeed.

In my opinion, people dropping out of school for YC shouldn't be doing it because they see an alternative opportunity - they should be doing it for a variety of other reasons. The mental calculation should not be "I could do a start up and make money now, or I could do 3 more years of school and make 140k/year comfortably." It should be along the lines of, "I know I'll succeed, and I can't wait to do it."


If anyone's in the startup business solely because they think they will make a bunch of money they will find out very quickly that they should be going for the plushy job instead.


Your right you gotta be dedicated, I just think some of this dedication erodes as you evolve into your mid-20's. People settle and get a little less hungry.


I didn't downvote you, but I don't agree. Age is not a gating factor. You can be hungry at any age.


Absolutely agree.

In my 20's I was completely certain that I would be successful without hard work as I was smart & talented. After a decade of that imagined success not materialising I am far hungrier, more determined and working harder now than I have ever been before.


Same here. At 29 I've finally internalized the reality that nothing valuable comes easily. Dreams and goals don't accomplish themselves.

Right now, I'm working my ass off to do a software craftsmanship apprenticeship. It has taken time to develop the maturity to be content to focus on what I need to do today and not worry about when, where, and how the hard work will pay off.


Much as I'd like to believe this, I was recently having a discussion with a neuroscience researcher where he talked about this natural phenomenon they've observed. Infants are on this side of the line craving novelty and mastery while aged folks are on the opposite end with comfort and familiarity. Everyone else lies sequentially in between.

That made a lot of sense to me. No doubt we can override it but...this kind of predisposition does place restrictions that one may not otherwise account for.

Plus, what better time than NOW!

I say this as I study for midterms


There is nothing special about the mid-20s that makes you less hungry, biologically. It's just cultural: in our culture, it's typical to be settled into a way of life by your 20s or 30s. That doesn't put up a real roadblock unless you let it. The research you're talking about wouldn't, I'm guessing, contradict this.


Well I was more focusing on the effect than the cause since this is a cause in the current context (i.e. lack of 'hunger').

But yeah, most of it IS probably driven by culture. That said, I'm sure there are some biological intricacies too. Something like x years after puberty your brain starts to want more of the same things - something that would definitely help in establishing a stable lifestyle and child rearing.


I think you're both right. There is a strong tendency for people to get comfortable and less hungry as they age. But there's no reason this can't be resisted. Indeed, I've done that myself. :)


the people willing to drop out and try to succeed on their own are also willing to fail, over and over again (dropping out of school being a pretty big failure in itself), until we get it right. i don't think people should be naive and think that they are going to find success out of the gate just because they want to succeed on their own.


Better idea: Drop out of high school to go to college. Then start your business at 19 after graduating.


And how, exactly, are you going to get into college without a high-school diploma?


I applied for early admission to UNM. I applied fairly late (I don't remember if there was an explicit deadline, but if so I was before it) and hadn't heard back by the first day of my senior year of high school. I called the admissions office at lunch from the high school, and they said, "Sorry to have not gotten back to you in time. You've got good letters of recommendation and you already have six credit hours at UNM with a 4.0 GPA. We're going to admit you."

I told people at the high school goodbye, left before the end of the day, and never went back to that fucking place.

That's how I did it. Your mileage may vary.


You could probably drop out, get a GED, go to community college for 2 years, and then transfer to the school that'll give you a 4 year degree.

With that said, I think some states have different rules in terms of what age you're allowed to drop out at. For example, Illinois requires students to be 17 years of age (and receive parental consent, of course) to drop out. At that point you're better off just finishing high school. even if you want to rapidly track into college.


It's really not that difficult. For formality's sake you could pick up a GED, but I think most colleges don't have a HS diploma as a strict requirement and would waive it if they did (assuming some evidence you're ready).

EDIT: I speak for the USA only.


USA: I got into collage at 14 by just taking an entrance exam, never needed a GED. No one will stop you form going to collage, you just need to pass exams.


Another data point: I started college in the US at 14 as well without a GED or high school diploma. There weren't really any safe-guards to prevent this.


I know a guy who started Oxford at 15, so it's apparently possible in the UK as well.

He calls it one of the greatest mistakes of his life, though, so it sounds like mileage may vary.


Care to share why he thinks that way?


Maybe because you are younger than all of your peers and you end up missing out many things because of it.


I totally understand him, I also felt the same way. But now I am on a good track in life so I would not call it a mistake. We all take different paths.


Aside from what others have suggested, I went to a college called Simon's Rock which accepts mostly high school sophomores. I don't have a single close friend who didn't get into college without a high school diploma.

And before you ask, our admissions are close to 100%, and our academics are some of the best in the country.


Hey, fellow SRCer! (does that acronym still apply?)


Lots of colleges have early admission. I met all the qualifications to go to college after my junior year of high school, without a HS diploma, but I didn't find that out until my Senior year.

Was pretty pissed off at my guidance counselor for not telling me!


> But by the time your 22 [...] Your getting used to a decent standard of living.

Get off my lawn!

Seriously, though, from my late-30s-with-a-young-family perspective, if being 22 with a girlfriend and an internship is enough to stop you chasing your dreams, then they weren't really your dreams after all.


I agree there's no rush. There's no rush at all.

Henry Ford started his company at 40. Jeff Bezos, 30. Sam Walton, 44. Paul Galvin, 33. The Albrecht brothers were 41 and 39. TJ Watson, while not a founder, was 40 when he took over CTR and created IBM. Hewlett, 26. Packard, 27. Larry, Sergey were 25. Ellison, 33.


So, if I'm over 30, there's no time like the present!


One thing that occurred to me after posting is that now that the average life expectancy is much longer today than when some of these guys started. When Ford started his company at 40, the average life expectancy was 49.


That's average life expectancy at birth. It doesn't mean Henry Ford's life expectancy at 40 was 9 more years.


Ah good point. In 1863, it was 39.

Thanks for pointing that out.


I'd be curious to learn more about your thinking on this. A few years ago you were heading in the other direction -- i.e., you were talking about how people could or should start companies at younger and younger ages.

pg, May 2005: "The three big powers on the Internet now are Yahoo, Google, and Microsoft. Average age of their founders: 24. So it is pretty well established now that grad students can start successful companies. And if grad students can do it, why not undergrads?"

pg, now: "Someone who can start a successful startup at 19 can do it as well or better at 22."

It seems this logic can be extended to say people should wait even longer. Someone with a few years of experience at 26 should be able to do a better job of starting a company than someone at 22.

So I'm interpreting this as a major change in your thinking. It certainly isn't a crime to change your mind; I'm just curious about how and when it happened.


Let's say YC funds a 19 year old who bets everything on his startup instead of going to college. The startup fails and he has nothing to show for it. This puts pg in a bad spot, since he enabled someone who could be deemed a kid to screw himself royally.

I don't think it's a likely scenario though since getting accepted to YC and running your own startup should be enough of a merit to get you employed somewhere.

However, out of all the people accepted into YC there has to be at least one example of a person who not only did worse by doing a startup early on, but actually hurt himself pretty badly in the process. Of course, this is pure speculation, and there might not be any such cases.

Basically my theory is that pg just doesn't think it is worth it to potentially have blood on his hands (indirect as it might be).


Though I wonder, what is the best way to spend those years? Would working at and/or creating a startup at 19 better prepare the 22 year old to start a successful startup than attending college?

Of course there is more to college than just making an individual ready for a career in the real world but I think that college should evolve and find better ways to teach students than the current model.


Depends on the startup. Starting a startup will teach you more about startups, certainly. But you could end up on a local maximum. For example (this is just a conjecture of course) the Google founders might not have known enough to build Google at 19, and if they hadn't stayed in school, they might never have learned enough to.

In any case, as you say, the goal of college is not to make one a better startup founder.


I wonder if the flip side of this claim can also be true in certain cases. Could staying in college prevent one from achieving a global maximum? For example (this is just conjecture of course) Steve Jobs might have had too much debt if he finished earning a degree at Reed College, would not have been able to participate in home brew computer meetups and would have been unable to strengthen his relationship with Steve Wozniak. These factors likely would have prevented him from founding Apple.

Silicon Valley is a truly special place and I think there is a lot of value in taking a year or two off of college and try working at a startup, traveling and/or pursuing whatever else seems cool and worthwhile. Then you can decide whether returning to college is the right thing for you...


I think so.

Debt is not even the biggest concern. My biggest concern is the mentality to avoid failure at all costs. Since the world's reward system isn't structured to always reward effort, school (imo) teaches you to pass, not excel. And, as I understand, the passing grade for a startup is to excel. See the disconnect?

Except for that, college years seem to be the most formative years of one's life. I wouldn't be into startups if I didn't come do post-secondary. I wouldn't even know how to code if I didn't come here. Best experience of my life.


> In any case, as you say, the goal of college is not tomake one a better startup founder.

There's the issue. College is obviously still a great way for a lot of people who don't plan to start a startup to "accidentially" learn skills and do projects that could be useful for starting a startup. Both Zuckerberg and Gates come to mind.

However, what should young people who know in their heart/mind/gut that they want to become an entrepreneur do?

I would rather spend a couple of years networking, trying and failing on a small scale in business while learning as much as possible through books/other cheap or free material than spending $30000+ on something that possibly wouldn't get me any closer to the goal.


Do you already know some of that free material, and do you spend everyday of your life learning at least a little bit more of that free material? Do you build things at a weekly rate? If not, then you should probably go to college, as you will learn a lot faster and network while inside there (given that you socialize with other dudes a lot). Maybe someone else has a different view, as I'm in Canada and don't spend as much on education so it's easier for me. -- Just saying this paragraph to people thinking about not going to college now.

Zuck and Gates were successful dropouts because they went to college and learned that it wasn't what they expected. Too much courses to take that they didn't like, classes not going fast enough, social life not as good as other people said, not much meaning in going to classes (basically fill in x reason).


Not all startups are of the internet application variety. My old boss did a startup in his late 30's, early 40's. He drew on a PhD and more than a decade of experience in wireless communications. That was a prerequisite for the type of startup he wanted to do. Heck, 19 he probably wouldn't even have known about the problem that the startup was trying to solve.


College isn't about learning. It's about forming social connections.


The either/or nature of your statement makes it inaccurate, as far as I'm concerned.

If you pursue an engineering degree, you are learning things that you can put to practical use, and if you don't learn some of those things in college, you will need to learn them elsewhere. Want to start a company to do machine learning? Natural language processing? Highly scalable parallel data processing? Networking can help you make that business successful, but it won't help you write that code.

Both skill sets are important.


Both skill sets are important.

For some, definitely. But if, for example, Jobs had the technical skills of Wozniak, he may have spent those critical hours hacking away at the machine instead of making smart business moves and we would have ultimately never heard of his name. The lack of strong technical skills was an asset for him.

My point is that there is nothing you can do to prepare for success. Getting your engineering degree might lead you to success, but it could just as easily steer you away from success. There is no magic formula you can follow.


I didn't make a single social connection in college. There is literally no one from my school who I know.

College, for me, was learning how to learn, mostly that I could successfuly teach myself. It also provided some rigor in critical areas (I had a great data structures prof, for instance).

Oh, and I'm a dropout. :-)


Everyone has their own path, but broadly speaking I would say that avoiding social opportunities at college was not to your benefit. I, for one, learned almost nothing at college that I couldn't have picked up myself with a few hours of before-bed reading sessions. The social experience was the value.


It might depend on the college, and how it feeds into the industry you wind up in.

Mine was a Large Cow College -- the U of MD -- whose CS department seemed to feed into the Washington, DC government and defense contractor businesses. When I relocated to Silicon Valley, all of my contacts were useless.

Well, there was the Arpanet; I'd been exchanging email with some Atari enthusiasts at Stanford for a while, and wound up going to dinner and users group meetings with them a few times.

But Silly Valley was (and probably still is) a terrible place for a geek to try to learn to be social. I'll probably do a blog post about that some day.


One of the biggest benefits I've experienced while attending university is that I'm forced to learn concepts I might not otherwise expose myself to. Over my last semester I had an assembly language course which exposed me to many unique problems I wouldn't have otherwise encountered.

If I'd been learning on my own, I doubt I would have seen the value in investing a hundred hours in a language I wouldn't ever use in industry. Same goes for a number of other courses, all with varying degrees of relevance.


As someone who just switched majors to cs after not being exposed to it in high school, the learning part of college is pretty important to me.


Take it from someone who knows: how good you are at your job matters very, very little in comparison with how much people like you as a person.

It's about mindset. Make sure that your expectations are aligned with your long-term goals. If you spend 100% of your time on training yourself in cs, then expect to be very shocked by the social dynamics of your first job. Conversely, if you spend 60% of your time focusing on becoming more social, then expect to have more friends, connections, and to connect with an overall larger number of interesting people during your lifetime.

So make sure you think about the answer to "What are my long-term goals?" and allocate your time proportionally. I didn't. I'd trade you my 10 years of advanced C++/graphics knowledge/gamedev industry experience for the college opportunity you have right now. And I wouldn't spend it by burying myself in studies.


> Take it from someone who knows: how good you are at your job matters very, very little in comparison with how much people like you as a person.

I think this is untrue simply because smart people who are good at their job are very likeable in general. Who doesn't like the smart productive guy? Conversely, who can stand the dumb guy on the team who never does any work? Of course there are exceptions, but my experience is that the social structure among nerds is largely a meritocracy. Just don't be mean to people.

If this hasn't been your experience, I think you had some misfortune by ending up in companies where politics dominate. There are both. Look at upper management - are they technically smart, or charismatic? Whichever one they are is likely what will have propagated throughout the company. Also watch out for mediocrity, that propagates too.

Of course, I'm referring to technical jobs, not business in general. If it were MBA, I'd agree with you.


> If this hasn't been your experience, I think you had some misfortune by ending up in companies where politics dominate.


I totally agree with being social at college, and being really friendly and helpful to everyone, but doing good in your studies is pretty much a guaranteed way to become good at grinding your way through things that are perhaps very boring. They are both equally important and unless you are working, you should be able to find time for both activities. Studying with classmates is also a good way to do both.

EDIT: I don't know what I replied to this comment and not your main comment about socializing at school, but w/e


> I think this is untrue simply because smart people who are good at their job are very likeable in general. Who doesn't like the smart productive guy? Conversely, who can stand the dumb guy on the team who never does any work?

I think in practice if you're in the middle 80% of the productivity spectrum, how well you interact with other people matters more than your technical ability.

You're not always just interfacing with other nerds. And in a startup context, as a founder you'll spend as much time talking to MBA types as you will on technical details.


In terms of start ups I found start up related coworking and events far better for making any useful connections than in college.


Right, exactly. But there's many ways to form social connections. You can meet influential people in this ecosystem fairly easily. With a mix of friends of friends and just interacting on twitter or maybe hacker news and building these relationships.

At least it's worked for me. Been in SF for the last few days to have some meetings and coffees as It's hard to connect properly from London and it's been fairly good as i've spoken to lots of people in advance. People are willing to help with advice or connections, especially when you're early in your career.


Not everyone becomes a successful startup founder. Most people work as employees and not graduating will put a sever dent on their career prospects.


As a student working on a startup I think I can bring some perspective. They are both incredibly good learning opportunities. I'm the business side of things and, for example, there's a big difference between taking an accounting class versus actually having to keep books. My partners have said the same thing in regards to taking their comp sci classes versus actually working on a startup. It's also important to note that education is moving in a way where a lot of our classes can be taken as either night courses or online. We've been able to not have to choose one or the other, but be able to structure our schedules so we have enough time for both. Which in my opinion is the best way of doing things.


Fear of being poor increases as you get older (at least in US). And that is the bigest obstacle for many people to pursue entrepreneurship dream.

And regarding school, there is really no reason why not to go school when you are little older. In other words, we have this assumption in US that all schooling has to be finished by 24 or something like that.


What about at 30?


Where were you 15 years ago when I scratched my itch? Consider me an early adopter of this sentiment. :D


I sometimes worry that some consider dropping out of college a cause of success rather than a symptom of success.

Many of the individuals mentioned in this article started companies while enrolled in college. It was only after they realized the true potential of these companies that they decided to fully invest themselves in their projects. You cannot simply drop out of university without some sort of plan and expect success to find you.


This is an important point that I don't think many people understand. Gates and Zuckerberg didn't drop out to start companies: they started companies in college, whose success drew them out.


They didn't drop out of some junior college or public high school either, but from Harvard following an education at elite private schools.

[edit] Brin, Page, Hewlett, Packard, Moore, Shockley - the list of people who didn't drop out is far more extensive.


Listen very carefully to pg kids. And I think its easier to herd PhDs if you at least did some grad school. Look at Larry and Sergey, most respectable situation, they are on perpetual leave from their PhDs.

p.s. I did not open the link. The title indicated that the click-through would be a waste of time.


I'm always confused how people can comment on an article they didn't read.


In addition to working on something yourself which takes off, the external business cycle might be a factor.

Dropping out (or at least going on leave) 1998-2000 made a lot of sense; probably the same 2006-2007 or even 2010-2011. Assuming you could get in with a company like Akamai, Google, Facebook, Square, ...


Steve Jobs would be the notable exception to this, he dropped out well before creating Apple


The exception that proves the rule. I think that nearly anyone who sets out to follow Steve Jobs's career path is likely to end up pretty disappointed in the results. Steve was one of a kind.


The lesson we should have been learning from Steve is to follow your own path. Trying to emulate Steve Jobs in spite of your own gut feeling is no better than going to college in spite of your gut. You're not apt to find success doing either.

There is nothing wrong with going to college, but you shouldn't be going because you are following someone else's plan, you need to be there because you know it is the right thing to do for yourself. Bottom line: Don't worry about what other people are doing.


What rule, that you should only drop out of college if you are working on a startup that looks like it could be incredibly successful? I don't think that is a great rule for everybody. Each individual has to look at the path that is correct for them.

Evan Williams, Jack Dorsey and Biz Stone are other examples of college dropouts who left not to start startups and then became successful entrepreneurs. Matt Cohler left college for two years, working for a startup in China and playing in a band, before finishing up his college degree.

Each individual has to choose the path that is right for them. Every incredibly successful person is an outlier. You can learn from them but you can't just copy them


It absolutely isn't a great rule for everybody. But it's a pretty good baseline rule if you know that your goal is to found a successful startup. There are lots of other goals that someone might have, and working in China and playing in a band sounds like a pretty awesome thing to do. For that matter, getting a job at a great company and getting paid a great salary can also be a pretty awesome thing to do. But if what you want most is to start a successful startup, there do seem to be some paths that are more likely to result in success than others.

> Every incredibly successful person is an outlier.

This is true. But the whole premise of YC and other startup incubators is that there are things you can do to significantly increase your odds of being successful if what you want to do is to found a startup.

Your chance of becoming Larry Page, Bill Gates, or Mark Zuckerberg is incredibly small. But your chance of founding a startup with some degree of success will be better.


Steve had Woz.


It's a very complex situation. First a huge percentage of American's start college. So the odds of a successful founder having at least started college are going to be very high.

Add to the that, founders are more likely to come from a middle or upper class background. The percent of that demographic that attends college is even higher.

Then factor that successful founders are almost universally ambitious, and most ambitious people start college.

Given those numbers I'd wager that upwards of 90% of people who become successful founders have at least started college.

If their company succeeds while they are in college and they quit to focus on it, or if they drop out before starting the company--instant college dropout success story.


Sigh, there is a lot of misleading stuff in there. First of all, the whole article relies on conclusion by examples. But if you look at the data the successful start up entrepreneurs are overwhelmingly college graduates.

Secondly, even if we look at the examples of the successful dropouts we notice that even most of them get some significant advantage out of school.

Gates is the prime example. Everyone says he is dropped out of college, but he had the advantage of going to one of the richest high schools in the nation where he had access to a computer (which was an incredible luxury at the time). It is the skills he learned there that allowed him to actually create something useful and to start his company.

Jobs dropped out, but if Jobs was all by himself he would not be Steve Jobs of Apple Computer, and there would not be an Apple Computer. Jobs is Jobs because he met Woz, and Woz went to college where he ignited his passion for electronics and gained the skills which would later enable him to create the first Apple computers.

Now about Zuck. It is utterly obvious to anyone that followed the rise of Facebook that there would be no Facebook if Zuckenberg did not go to college. Sure he dropped out, but being there allowed him to assemble the team that build the site and be part of the culture that made the site useful and used. Facebook was a college phenomenon.

So things are not that simple. To be a successful entrepreneur you have to build something people want. And to do this nowadays you usually need to deal with machines and computers. And to know how to make computers do what you need them to do you need education. Now it is not certain whether formal education does a good job at this or not, but to say that all you need to do a successful start-up is gumption, can do spirit, "street smarts", sales skills, etc., is a dangerous lie.


>"Jobs dropped out, but if Jobs was all by himself he would not be Steve Jobs of Apple Computer, and there would not be an Apple Computer. Jobs is Jobs because he met Woz, and Woz went to college where he ignited his passion for electronics and gained the skills which would later enable him to create the first Apple computers."

It's more than that. If Wozniak and Jobs had been in Topeka, there probably wouldn't have been an Apple computer because few people there would likely gambled on an order for 50 computers in 1976. Only in places like Silicon Valley were there the right demographics to support computer shops and create the sort of demand which allowed them to get their start. Later financing also was facilitated by location.


Woz's passion for electronics started waaaaay before college. More like at age 11. (I'm reading iWoz right now, it's great)


You are right there, but I am sure he learned a lot of useful stuff in college. I studied a lot of hardware and electronics myself and those fields include a lot of theory and high order math that one usually cannot learn in high school.


One must not mistake education with school. Sometimes they are linked, sometimes they are not.

It would be foolish to take away from this article that education is unimportant - all of the people listed are incredibly well educated.

The well educated will save America. How many of these people have gone to school, that's another matter altogether.


I would like to echo this sentiment. Further, having read the author's book 3 weeks ago, I'm confident even he wouldn't say the uneducated are going to save America. His book is about the alternative education that you can give yourself if you choose to seek it out, particularly around topics that are business centric (sales, marketing, personal branding, networking, etc.).

The point of the book is that he found common themes in the people who didn't have college degrees but who did attain business success.


Maybe I'm just drinking the Kool-Aid, but as a Senior at a pretty damn good college in the US, I don't think that my years here have been wasted. There was a time where I wanted to drop out and start a business, but I would have missed so much if I had.

I do not intend to be an academic, nor a professional. I would like to start a business someday. College didn't provide me with a set of skills which I can sell to an employer or employ to sell with. Rather–and this used to sound absurd to me as well–it improved my ability to teach myself.

I'm speaking from personal experience here, but I do think college has the same effect on my peers as well. I was a fairly proficient autodidact, teaching myself how to program in everything from C to Clojure, as well as a sizable array of other skills (double-entry accounting, for one).

But now I am able to pick up a book on the subject of abstract algebra and really learn the material. I know how to handle tricky political situations, where not all information is present and one party wants to get more out of the other. I have been exposed to people, cultures, and ideas that I would have been unlikely to come across had I dropped out to hack together a startup. I know how to talk to people with power. I am better able to see things from another perspective. I am a better person now, all around. (This paragraph is uncomfortably self-congratulatory, but I'll leave it in for what it's trying to convey.)

Sure, college is not for everyone. Some college are better than others, and some are better for specific purposes. But I have improved myself and my skills here, and I don't think I could have done the same had I not gone through college. I'm looking forward to changing the world in a big way.


How much did it cost you?


Well over 200k.


What link-baity nonsense is this?

Yeah, people running/founding companies might drop out of school to do so, the people that they're directing, however, are engineers with graduate degrees.

Stay in school. The idea that articles like this perpetuate "Lose pounds NOW and eat whatever you want!" errr... I mean "Commonly accepted fact of life is incorrect! You're Harry Potter!" is a bad one. Stay in school. Get your degree.

No, high school dropouts won't "save America", people who figure out an economic system that can function in a post-industrial economy will.


I guess it was taken too far, but the main point is that school doesn't teach you a lot of really important skills you need to succeed.

I have no intention of dropping of school until I get a degree, but I also know that I will have to learn a lot of things that school won't teach me.

How many schools are actively teaching how to function in a post-industrial economy? Not many, I'm guessing.


My 100k college education didn't teach sales...which is kind of everything. If you can't sell yourself or your ideas, what good is your education.


Depending on what the business is, dropouts might be just as capable as graduates. If the post-industrial economy demands more hairdressers, cooks, and barristas, then the ability to make a low-cal hamburger could be more useful than the ability to write a 3,000 word essay on why Hitler was possibly not solely responsible for WWII, but still a bad person (or whatever kids in college do these days). It depends on the course, and the student.

That said, a degree in a technical field from a good but inexpensive college will always be worth it.


Article exhibits the common fallacy that because some college dropouts are wildly successful, dropping out of college is correlated with success.

64% of US business owners have at least a Bachelor's degree (source: http://www.census.gov/econ/sbo/02/cbosof.html).

Unless you have a great and proven business idea that's already taking off, staying in school and getting a degree seems to have a closer correlation to success than dropping out.


The problem with statistics in discussions like this is that they don't really mean anything. Sure, the statistic you mentioned shows that 64% of business owners have a Bachelor's degree, but it doesn't show that having a Bachelor's degree is useful in starting and running a successful business. This is a common flaw with statistics.

Example - Most successful tech entrepreneurs are male (let's say 9/10). That doesn't mean that women are only 1/10 as likely to succeed in that space if they tried, it just means that most successful tech entrepreneurs are male.

People with Bachelor's degrees are likely higher than averagely smart and ambigious people with successful and supporting parents. Who knows what would have happened if they skipped over the degree they felt they needed and instead jumped right into starting a business. Sure, it would be very tough in the beginning, but I'd bet that they would reach their goals faster than delaying the start 3+ years. Ambition is correlated with success, a degree is just correlated with ambition.

Dropping out of college is, quite obviously, not positively correlated to success. Most people who drop out do it either because it is too hard/too much work or too expensive. However, I think that people who drop out (or not start at all) not mainly because of those factors, but because of a strong drive to reach their goals faster are just as likely to succeed (if not more so).


It's transparently obvious from looking at data that getting a college degree is correlated with success, assuming success means having more income. The gulf is significant and growing.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Household_income_in_the_United_...


But all that really tells is that there may be some correlation to the attributes of a person which allows them to make their way through increasingly challenging levels of education (smarts, drive, luck, etc.), also allows them success in business. It is more than likely those attributes were present before entering college. Perhaps even as far back as birth.


After Sean Parker tweeted about this op-ed piece, there was conversation on Twitter about it by Sean, Chris Sacca, Gary Vaynerchuk, Anil Dash, and many others.

I'm sure there are many I'm missing that represent good ideas, but here are at least the tweets about the piece from the people listed above: http://storify.com/michaelschade/will-dropouts-save-america


I'm optimistic that future students will be more curious about entrepreneurship. Their disillusioned older brothers and sisters with graduate degrees will report back to them from the job front. There is an educational arms race that has caused the bar for degree and GPA requirements to be raised for many professional jobs. Folks are being squeezed to less rewarding jobs. And I'm already seeing a shifting mindset about the safety and inevitability of a good career after grad school.

As schools see their post-grad employment and salary figures drop, they will come around on what makes good preparation for life in the future job market.


There's a misconception i've noticed to why many go to college, in this area at least. I see no problem with going or dropping out. Everyone is in a different situation and at different levels in their career. Many have already ran or are running companies. In fact most of my friends that are going to college (those want to run startups) are going because...

They want to bide their time, as PG mentioned people should take their time. They want to have gone to Stanford, etc for the badge it holds, although this is becoming more debatable as the more people have degrees the lower value it holds and seems to be just for vanity. The most important reason is social pressure and trying to conform with their peers and for contacts they could make.

Next year i'm not planning to go to college at all, my current startup which launched about 2.5 months ago is about to pass 30,000 users a lot of which are buying products so we're nicely profitable.

I don't feel I need connections as I've been able to meet lots of great people on Twitter, at conferences like disrupt and contacting some before I visited SF. I've got about 5 months left and now i'm visiting SF, spending time meeting people and such. I'm decided.

I'm very happy to take the risk of moving to SF from London, this will be next spring and may be working on something new. I would say it's totally a case by case basis, it's fine if people want to go to college but I don't like that many have told me to go as it's what they had to go through. Which makes little sense.


The article highlights a handful of wild-success examples and thus suffers from selection bias. The difficultly of tracking failed start-ups has been discussed, but has anyone studied that failure rate? Seems there's a paucity of coverage in popular press, even if any actual sources exist. Playing up the genius, or the under-dog, seems common-- maybe there's a rule similar to "man bites dog".

The subtext of the article seems to be that US education doesn't give kids all of the tools needed ("Skills like sales, networking, creativity and comfort with failure."). But that doesn't imply we need to discard education whole-sale. We probably just need to iterate (more often)-- cull obsolete topics and start testing new subjects.

Perhaps a passionate, motivated person can find and digest useful materials more effectively on her own than if she is distracted by formal schooling most of the day. But we won't make progress in the information age without a good degree of careful thinking. "[B]etting on the engines of future job creation" may make for a good read, but historically-informed updates to standard curricula would probably do the job.


Dropout? I beg your pardon. I completed 8th grade and then didn't go on to high school; I never "dropped out" of anything. The term you're looking for is "autodidact".


startups are indeed important job creators, and college isnt for everyone. however, in a general population, a successful startup entrepreneur is about as rare as a professional athlete in basketball, baseball, football, hockey etc. For the rest, a college education is by far still statistically the best way to a stable career and success. Would you tell all inner city kids to forget school and instead focus on being a pro-bball player someday? no - not because you dont believe a handful will make it, but because we know 99% of the rest wont. hence, this is a message targeted for the rare 1% talents, not for the 99%.


Well that's just wrong, unless you're definition of success is creating the next Facebook or YouTube, in which case I would agree.

But I have several friends who run their own businesses on a much smaller scale, still do quite well for themselves financially, and I don't see people running up to them for autographs.


Reading both pg's comments and the article, I think the point here is that college is a great vehicle for moving ahead in life. But the vehicle may be headed to a destination that doesn't work for you.

In other words, use college for your own advancement, not to necessarily complete a pre-canned course of study. If you're Zuck and you've created something that's on fire, then it might make sense to leave early. If you want to become a neurosurgeon, you're probably just getting started. It all depends on your personal situation. With a lack of goals and traction in life, staying the course on some 4 or 6-year study program might be the best thing to do.

You can't mix up structured education and learning. Structured education is great for some things, but at some point you have to switch from structured education into self-directed education. That point is going to be in a different spot for everybody. Those that try to tell you that it is one way or the other -- years and years of college versus just drop out and do it -- are oversimplifying the situation drastically.

Use college. Don't let college use you. The guys that are $100K in debt with a degree and no job prospects are just as screwed as the guys who dropped out and can only get minimum-wage labor (In fact, I'd argue the drop-outs might be better off, as long as they have a strong culture of self-education, networking, and ambition -- at least they know their behind the curve and are going to have to continue to adapt drastically to survive whereas many college grads do not -- but that's my bias.)


no. people like gates or zuckerberg will not save the country.

a long time ago (actually not that long) people who had wealth pursued education. they gravitated to universities they travelled the world to learn about culture. they were not becoming educated in order to increase their monetary wealth.

this was true even as recent as andrew carnegie, once the world's wealthiest man. according to one biography, the mentor carnegie chose to help him become more educated preferred the company of carnegie's brother, by comparison a man of modest accomplishments but who apparently had a more interesting intellect than andrew.

at the same time we read that gates fancies the khan academy and takes his children on tours of factories. i'm not even going to mention zuckerberg's activities.

things have changed i guess.

university has value aside from being a path to higher income. i feel sorry for the uneducated man, no matter how much wealth he acquires. circumstances can change and men can lose their fortunes. but education is not something a man can lose. it is his for life.


Getting Lay'd Off taught me more about entrepreneurship than any school.


I would think it is mostly about the person.

Some people - like me, are very anti authoritarian and love to do things on their own and teach themselves how to become better at things. Some people enjoy a more structured life. I dont think any of the paths are wrong its just that there are different kinds of people, and different kinds of people take different kinds of paths to achieve the same thing.

Will dropouts save America, probably not, looking at the stats it seems as if people fare far better going the education route but a couple will succeed and because they are in the minority people will rejoice "Hey look, we to can succeed without getting a degree", what they missed though is the mountain of work these people put into their projects to succeed. There are no shortcuts.

College is hard work (Im sure), doing it without a degree is also a lot of hard work. And as I said earlier, it comes down to the person to decide what is the right path for him/her.


If you're in school and thinking of dropping out, take a look at the numbers: http://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.t04.htm

Despite the state of the economy, college grads have a 4.2% unemployment rate.


On the other hand, if those numbers are the only thing that is keeping you in school, you might want to consider the quality of the education you are receiving.

Showing a correlation does not really tell us anything meaningful. Even with a degree, you still might be missing what it takes and end up being part of the four percent. At this point, we have no real idea of what it takes for an individual to be successful in business until after the fact. Two people can do identical things with completely different results.


It's all mentality. The "I'll get a degree, find a job, and move up the ladder" way of doing things is dying.

If you have the drive, thirst to educate yourself, and hustle to go out and do it, you probably don't need college (referring to business degree).

College has some good things to offer, but too often it's a false reality. You don't learn the real world lessons that come from dealing with actual clients, paying you actual money, to provide actual value.

You can only learn so much with case studies and papers.

I learned more in the first 3 months at an internship at a marketing agency were I was getting paid $8/hr than the 4 years of college, which cost $100k.


There are two types of dropouts: (1) those who can't keep up with the rest, and (2) those who are and realize they are far above the rest and quit because school would slow them down.

Those in category (2) like Gate, Job, Zuckerberg are rare. And schooling is necessary to train those who help make Gate, Job, Zuckerberg who they are. Without these engineers, managers, etc. there would be no Gate, Job, Zuckerberg. The dropouts of category (1) ain't going to do it.


I don't see why there is an inherent assumption that college and entrepreneurship are mutually exclusive.

Pretending that college prevents people from pursuing a career in entrepreneurship is ridiculous. What would those students be doing instead? Working at Starbucks while they build their startups at night? How is that better? Zuckerberg and Gates dropped out because their startups were already wildly successful. They didn't drop out to start them.


The article seems to miss that for the examples it gives, while the founders might have been college dropouts, the products/companies themselves would not have made it to where they are now if not by the work of many people who did finish college and in many cases graduate school.


The right people will be motivated by the right words. Those who aren't right, won't hear it. If you read that and wanted to find justifications (references) on why Ellsberg was wrong, then you are too risk averse.


I wonder if school sucks at teaching so much that we failed to retain most knowledge we learn in schools and thus that why even people with a high school degrees are not worth much.


I actually gave up my MS degree, and saved quit a bit time to learn sth useful.

3 years after that, I want to say, it was a nice decision. I do not need a degree anyway.




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